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Forecast Discussion for Nashville, TN

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971
FXUS64 KOHX 180520
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1120 PM CST Fri Nov 17 2017

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Temps earlier this evening have already reached overnight low
values. Temps will continue to warm thru the overnight hrs
and should be in the lower 60s, mid to upper 50s Cumberland
Plateau Region by 18/12Z as sfc pressure gradient influences
continue to strengthen. Adjusted gridded forecast to reflect
above scenario accordingly. Also increased sky coverage per
current conditions and consensus of short term model solutions.
Tweaked hrly temp, dewpoint, and wind speed/direction grids too.
Remainder of forecast continues to be on track.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

BNA/MQY/CKV/CSV...Winds will continue to increase and become gusty
with the approach of a strong cold front. South winds will
steadily increase overnight with gusts around 25KT. Winds aloft
will become quite strong, so Low level wind shear will be
indicated for all sites overnight into Saturday morning with 2kft
winds around 20050KT. Otherwise, VFR through the overnight.

After 15Z, surface winds will reach 15-25KT with gusts over 30KT
at times through the day, especially near the front passage.
Mainly MVFR cigs will develop. The front, along with a band of
showers and thunderstorms, is expected to reach CKV around 22Z,
BNA and MQY 23Z and CSV around 03Z. The front will be followed by
an abrupt wind shift with continued strong and gusty winds,
around 30020G30KT.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 6 AM Saturday to midnight CST Saturday night
for Cumberland-Fentress-Grundy-Overton-Pickett-Putnam-Van Buren-
Warren-White.

Wind Advisory from 6 AM to 9 PM CST Saturday for Bedford-Cannon-
Cheatham-Clay-Coffee-Davidson-De Kalb-Dickson-Giles-Hickman-
Houston-Humphreys-Jackson-Lawrence-Lewis-Macon-Marshall-Maury-
Montgomery-Perry-Robertson-Rutherford-Smith-Stewart-Sumner-
Trousdale-Wayne-Williamson-Wilson.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......31
AVIATION........13

Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Nashville, TN (OHX) Office Forecast Discussions.
(Click 'Previous Version' there to view past versions successively.
Some may differ only in time posted.)

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